September 23, 2014: Iranian President Hassan Rouhani at a United Nations meeting in New York City. (Getty Images)


Understanding the Iran Nuclear Deal

February 24, 2015

In Washington, 10 years is a long time. In the antique land of Persia, however, it is the blink of an eye. Those negotiating a nuclear deal with Tehran need to equal the patience of their Iranian counterparts.

Now there are reports that under a deal being negotiated in Geneva, the central restrictions on Iran’s nuclear program would be phased out after lasting only 10 years. This is almost inconceivable.

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Tough questions on ISIS, Iran, and Iraq

Michael Morell on Charlie Rose

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The Coming Global Gas-Market Bust

By Leonardo Maugeri, in National Interest

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February 27, 2015

"Why Nigeria Matters to the World"

By Calestous Juma, Professor of the Practice of International Development; Director, Science, Technology, and Globalization Project; Principal Investigator, Agricultural Innovation in Africa

Nigeria is Africa's largest economy and 26th in the world. Its GDP stands at $510 billion with immense growth potential. A stable and peaceful Nigeria will contribute to Africa's rise and integration into the global economy. On the other hand, an unstable, stagnant and conflict-driven Nigeria will be a threat to regional and global stability.



February 26, 2015

"'Germany Is Out of the Danger Business'"

The Huffington Post

By Charles G. Cogan, Associate, International Security Program

"In recent years, Germany has developed a modest military capability, but this is far from what it could be. The fact is that Germany is the only European country that has the potential to stand up to Vladimir Putin's Russia. Together with France, which thanks to Charles de Gaulle, did not have hang-ups about maintaining a strong military capability and equipped itself with an independent nuclear force, this could be a formidable check on a resurgent and hostile Russia."



Getty Images

February 25, 2015

"Sisi's joint Arab military idea is stunningly idiotic"

Agence Global

"Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi’s suggestion that our region needs a joint Arab military force to deal with escalating threats from armed factions in lands like Libya is one of the most ridiculous and non-credible ideas to emerge in the Arab world for many years. The idea of joint Arab action for common security needs is a good one in principle, but given the legacy of Arab military actions at home and abroad, it makes no sense whatsoever, on many counts."



Wikimedia CC

February 2015

The Russian Energy Outlook

By Andreas Goldthau, Associate, The Geopolitics of Energy Project

This AEI report strives to shed light on these uncertainties with the aim of providing realistic scenarios for the global energy outlook to 2030. Goldthau's chapter finds that Russia will remain one of the world’s top energy producers and exporters, but its energy future will hinge on several factors outside of Moscow’s control, including Western energy sanctions and European regulations. Should Europe shift away from dependence on Russian energy, the Kremlin will feel more pressure to court China.



AP Photo

February 12, 2015

Russia should be prosecuted for its crimes against humanity

Washington Post

By Paula J. Dobriansky, Senior Fellow, The Future of Diplomacy Project

An enduring diplomatic solution to the Ukraine crisis has eluded negotiators. But even if the Minsk peace talks’ newly announced cease-firewere to hold, there is widespread agreement in the West that Russia has engaged in a quasi-war in Ukraine. Moscow has acted with some circumspection, employing intelligence agents and plainclothes special forces (the so-called little green men), but in the past several months, it has become much more brazen, deploying thousands of regular troops, backed up by artillery and armor. There is also consensus that Russian activities in Ukraine are destabilizing European security and have violated numerous international legal norms.



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<em>International Security</em>

The winter 2014 issue of the quarterly journal International Security
is now available!

  1. A Saudi Arabian Defense Doctrine
  2. Why Nigeria Matters to the World
  3. Why the United States Should Spread Democracy
The Harvard Kennedy School's Belfer Center for Science and International affairs has been ranked the world's top University Affiliated Think Tank for 2014.

The annual ranking were issued by University of Pennsylvania’s Think Tanks and Civil Societies Program. More Info ›

"The closer we get to the end game, the more incentive he has to stretch it out."

Gary Samore, on the delayed disarmament process in Syria