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Christopher Gelpi



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Fall 2006

"Correspondence: Casualties, Polls, and the Iraq War"

Journal Article, International Security, issue 2, volume 31

By Louis J. Klarevas, Christopher Gelpi and Jason Reifler

Louis Klarevas responds to Peter Feaver, Christopher Gelpi, and Jason Reifler's winter 2005/06 International Security article, "Success Matters: Casualty Sensitivity and the War in Iraq"; Christopher Gelpi and Jason Reifler respond.



Winter 2005/06

"Success Matters: Casualty Sensitivity and the War in Iraq"

Journal Article, International Security, issue 3, volume 30

By Peter D. Feaver, Former Research Fellow, International Security Program, 1985-1987; Editorial Board Member, Quarterly Journal: International Security, Christopher Gelpi and Jason Reifler

"Success Matters" authoritatively explains the rationale for the George W. Bush administration's attempts to maintain U.S. domestic support for the war in Iraq. In 2005, as the war became increasingly unpopular, Peter Feaver, one of the article's authors, was appointed to the National Security Council staff as special adviser for strategic planning and institutional reform. He has reportedly played a key role in shaping U.S. policy. Feaver and his coauthors conclude that the American public will support a war when it believes that success is likely. This article offers a detailed look at the analysis that underpins current U.S. policy. It is suggested that the public will even tolerate relatively high levels of casualties if victory is the probable outcome of the war. These conclusions have served as the basis for the "strategy for victory" that President Bush outlined in his November 30, 2005 Naval Academy speech and elsewhere.



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