Joshua R. Itzkowitz Shifrinson
Associate, International Security Program
Contact:
Email: joshua_itzkowitz_shifrinson@hks.harvard.edu
AP Photo
Summer 2011
"A Crude Threat: The Limits of an Iranian Missile Campaign against Saudi Arabian Oil"
Journal Article, International Security, issue 1, volume 36
By Joshua R. Itzkowitz Shifrinson, Associate, International Security Program and Miranda L. Priebe, Research Fellow, International Security Program
The widespread concern that Iran would retaliate for an attack on its nuclear program by launching missiles at oil installations in the Persian Gulf may be largely unfounded. Although such an attack would lead to a temporary spike in oil prices because of perceived oil shortages, Iran almost certainly does not have the missile capability to make a significant impact given the redundancies in Saudi Arabia’s oil infrastructure. The threat would become serious only if Iran greatly increased the range and accuracy of its missiles, in which event the states around the Persian Gulf would be wise to increase their defenses. In addition to demonstrating that oil is not a particularly vulnerable target, this research also suggests that, although there may be other reasons for not attacking Iran’s nuclear program, concerns about oil shortage should not be one of them.
AP Photo
Summer 2011
"A Crude Threat: The Limits of an Iranian Missile Campaign against Saudi Arabian Oil"
Journal Article, International Security, issue 1, volume 36
By Joshua R. Itzkowitz Shifrinson, Associate, International Security Program and Miranda L. Priebe, Research Fellow, International Security Program
The widespread concern that Iran would retaliate for an attack on its nuclear program by launching missiles at oil installations in the Persian Gulf may be largely unfounded. Although such an attack would lead to a temporary spike in oil prices because of perceived oil shortages, Iran almost certainly does not have the missile capability to make a significant impact given the redundancies in Saudi Arabia’s oil infrastructure. The threat would become serious only if Iran greatly increased the range and accuracy of its missiles, in which event the states around the Persian Gulf would be wise to increase their defenses. In addition to demonstrating that oil is not a particularly vulnerable target, this research also suggests that, although there may be other reasons for not attacking Iran’s nuclear program, concerns about oil shortage should not be one of them.
AP Photo
Summer 2011
"A Crude Threat: The Limits of an Iranian Missile Campaign against Saudi Arabian Oil"
Journal Article, International Security, issue 1, volume 36
By Joshua R. Itzkowitz Shifrinson, Associate, International Security Program and Miranda L. Priebe, Research Fellow, International Security Program
The widespread concern that Iran would retaliate for an attack on its nuclear program by launching missiles at oil installations in the Persian Gulf may be largely unfounded. Although such an attack would lead to a temporary spike in oil prices because of perceived oil shortages, Iran almost certainly does not have the missile capability to make a significant impact given the redundancies in Saudi Arabia’s oil infrastructure. The threat would become serious only if Iran greatly increased the range and accuracy of its missiles, in which event the states around the Persian Gulf would be wise to increase their defenses. In addition to demonstrating that oil is not a particularly vulnerable target, this research also suggests that, although there may be other reasons for not attacking Iran’s nuclear program, concerns about oil shortage should not be one of them.
Winter 2012/13
"Correspondence: Debating China's Rise and U.S. Decline"
Journal Article, International Security, issue 3, volume 37
By Joshua R. Itzkowitz Shifrinson, Associate, International Security Program and Michael Beckley, Former Research Fellow, International Security Program, 2011–2012
Joshua R. Itzkowitz Shifrinson responds to Michael Beckley's winter 2011/12 International Security article, "China's Century? Why America's Edge Will Endure."
Winter 2012/13
"Correspondence: Debating China's Rise and U.S. Decline"
Journal Article, International Security, issue 3, volume 37
By Joshua R. Itzkowitz Shifrinson, Associate, International Security Program and Michael Beckley, Former Research Fellow, International Security Program, 2011–2012
Joshua R. Itzkowitz Shifrinson responds to Michael Beckley's winter 2011/12 International Security article, "China's Century? Why America's Edge Will Endure."
Winter 2012/13
"Correspondence: Debating China's Rise and U.S. Decline"
Journal Article, International Security, issue 3, volume 37
By Joshua R. Itzkowitz Shifrinson, Associate, International Security Program and Michael Beckley, Former Research Fellow, International Security Program, 2011–2012
Joshua R. Itzkowitz Shifrinson responds to Michael Beckley's winter 2011/12 International Security article, "China's Century? Why America's Edge Will Endure."
Winter 2012/13
"Correspondence: Debating China's Rise and U.S. Decline"
Journal Article, International Security, issue 3, volume 37
By Joshua R. Itzkowitz Shifrinson, Associate, International Security Program and Michael Beckley, Former Research Fellow, International Security Program, 2011–2012
Joshua R. Itzkowitz Shifrinson responds to Michael Beckley's winter 2011/12 International Security article, "China's Century? Why America's Edge Will Endure."
Winter 2012/13
"Correspondence: Debating China's Rise and U.S. Decline"
Journal Article, International Security, issue 3, volume 37
By Joshua R. Itzkowitz Shifrinson, Associate, International Security Program and Michael Beckley, Former Research Fellow, International Security Program, 2011–2012
Joshua R. Itzkowitz Shifrinson responds to Michael Beckley's winter 2011/12 International Security article, "China's Century? Why America's Edge Will Endure."
