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Chuck Freilich

Chuck Freilich

Senior Fellow, International Security Program

Contact:
Telephone: 617-495-8898
Fax: 617-496-0606
Email: chuck_freilich@harvard.edu

 

 

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AP Photo

December 16, 2010

"The Sparks That Light the Fires"

Op-Ed, BitterLemons-International.org -- Middle East Roundtable, issue 24

By Chuck Freilich, Senior Fellow, International Security Program

"The even worse news is that we may badly need the improved firefighting and other civil preparedness capabilities in the coming years. In the three primary scenarios for military conflict in the coming years—a further round with Hizballah, a strike against Iran and renewed strife with the Palestinians—the home front is likely to be hit hard."

 

 

AP Photo

Spring 2010

"Decision Time in Jerusalem"

Journal Article, Journal of International Security Affairs, volume 18

By Chuck Freilich, Senior Fellow, International Security Program

In Israel, it has become commonplace—indeed, almost axiomatic—to speak of the Iranian nuclear program as an existential threat. Senior decision-makers and defense officials have repeated this warning so often that the words "existential" and "Iran" have become almost synonymous in Israeli discourse. Foreign media, meanwhile, repeatedly speculate on the prospects of an Israeli attack on Iran, and some have speculated that 2010 may be the "year of decision."

 

 

AP Photo

April 2010

The Armageddon Scenario: Israel and the Threat of Nuclear Terrorism

Report

By Chuck Freilich, Senior Fellow, International Security Program

The following study focuses on the threat of nuclear terrorism facing Israel. It begins with an overview of the nature of the threat, before turning to the potential perpetrators of nuclear terrorism against Israel, possible delivery mechanisms and targets, and the specific scenarios under which the threat to Israel might materialize. The study then presents possible policy options for Israel to deal with the threat, both unilaterally and in conjunction with the United States.

 

 

AP Photo

December 4, 2008

"Engaging Iran Effectively"

Op-Ed, BitterLemons-International.org -- Middle East Roundtable, issue 6, volume 45

By Chuck Freilich, Senior Fellow, International Security Program

"Many in Israel will be alarmed by US engagement of Iran. Indeed, some will fear abandonment in the face of a potentially existential threat. Others clearly favor engagement, primarily as a way-station toward harder measures, but also in the hope, forlorn as it may be, that a deal can be worked out that will forestall the need for them. Assuming the US effectively addresses the time factor by insisting on a cessation of enrichment during engagement, Israel would have a major interest in its success and would likely support any agreement reached."

 

 

AP Photo

November 2008

"The United States, Israel, and Iran: Defusing an 'Existential' Threat"

Magazine or Newspaper Article, Arms Control Today

By Chuck Freilich, Senior Fellow, International Security Program

"Iran is an existential threat to Israel. This apocalyptic warning call has become a mantra continually repeated by virtually all Israeli leaders and defense officials and has been adopted by much of the U.S. national security establishment. President George W. Bush even warned that Iran’s declared intention of destroying Israel could lead to World War III.

There is no doubt that Iran poses a severe threat to Israel, not only in the nuclear field, but what kind of danger does its nuclear program constitute? Is Israel’s future in imminent danger if Iran goes nuclear? The answer is probably not. Although somewhat reassuring, this response is less than satisfying...."

 

 

AP Photo

September 1, 2008

"US-Iranian Tango"

Op-Ed, The Jerusalem Post

By Chuck Freilich, Senior Fellow, International Security Program

"...Engagement with Iran does not constitute appeasement, nor a slippery slope leading to further concessions. It can be these things if mishandled, but there is no reason for it to be anything other than a coherent, integrated policy. A policy based solely on sticks, without carrots, will surely fail. Engagement, however, should be conducted from a position of strength, with a concomitant attempt to increase pressure, such as heightened restrictions on international trade, banking and investments...."

 

 

AP Photo

August 4, 2008

"After Olmert"

Op-Ed, Human Events

By Chuck Freilich, Senior Fellow, International Security Program

"...In mid September, Olmert's Kadima party will hold primaries to elect his successor as party head, until which time he will stay on as premier. The two leading candidates are, Tzipi Livni, the current foreign minister and clear frontrunner among the public, and Shaul Mofaz, a former chief of staff and defense minister, now minister of transportation, the frontrunner among the party rank and file, who actually vote in the primaries...."

 

 

AP Photo

June 25, 2008

"A Disastrous Attack on Iran?"

Op-Ed, The Jerusalem Post

By Chuck Freilich, Senior Fellow, International Security Program

"...Only if the US proves to both domestic and world opinion that it has exhausted all diplomatic possibilities, will it gain support for major economic sanctions, let alone future military action. Iran will probably reject the offer, as it has all others, but we will only know if the option is pursued and it is a vital way station on the road to stronger measures. Talking to Iran does not imply acquiescence, or appeasement."

 

 

AP Photo

February 20, 2008

"Disavowing the Iran NIE: Smoke Screens or Smoking Guns?"

Op-Ed, Human Events

By Chuck Freilich, Senior Fellow, International Security Program

"US policymakers, too, will have to give increasing thought to the options for living with a nuclear Iran, as well as to Israel's considerations. How the US engages with Israel and others regarding the NIE, will have a major effect on crucial decisions they will have to make in the coming months, as well as the long term prospects for containing Iran's nukes."

 

 

January 7, 2008

"Bush's Mideast Trip"

Op-Ed, Washington Times

By Chuck Freilich, Senior Fellow, International Security Program

"Mr. Bush will also find an Israel stunned and feeling betrayed by the recent U.S. National Intelligence Estimate which concluded that Iran has suspended its military nuclear program. Israel's security establishment remains convinced that Iran is actively pursuing this option, while the public, long used to viewing Iran as an existential threat, is totally bewildered by this abrupt change."

 

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