Great Power Politics and the Ukrainian Crisis:
NATO, EU and Russia
A new report for the Danish Institute for International Studies by International Security Program Research Fellow
To access the report, click here>
September 12, 2014
The Huffington Post
By Charles G. Cogan, Associate, International Security Program
"...[A] lot of Sunnis are going to get killed as the Obama strategy is being carried out, and it remains to be seen how the Sunni Arab powers on the outside — Saudi Arabia, Turkey, the Gulf states and Jordan — as well as the Sunni populations on the inside in Syria and Iraq — are going to tolerate it."
September 11, 2014
By Emile Simpson, Ernest May Fellow in History and Policy, International Security Program
"Can the US 'degrade and ultimately destroy' the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, or Isis, as President Barack Obama promised on Wednesday, without being drawn into another open-ended conflict?"
September 4, 2014
By Stephen M. Walt, Robert and Renée Belfer Professor of International Affairs; Faculty Chair, International Security Program
"But as George Kennan, Michael Mandelbaum, and other experts warned in the 1990s, NATO expansion turned out to be a fundamental strategic misstep. It alienated Russia without making NATO stronger; on the contrary, expansion involved extending security guarantees to mostly weak countries that would be the hardest to defend should Russian power ever recover"
September 4, 2014
By Joseph S. Nye, Harvard University Distinguished Service Professor
"Some of Russia's opponents may welcome the country's decline on the grounds that the problem will eventually solve itself, but that will be shortsighted. A century ago, the decline of the Austro-Hungarian and Ottoman Empires proved highly disruptive to the international system. A gradual decline, like that of ancient Rome or 18th-century Spain, is less disruptive than a rapid one, but ultimately the best scenario would feature a recovering and rebalanced Russia over the next decade."
August 25, 2014
"The United States and several key regional states, including Israel, Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey may have very different interests, but they all have a shared interest in better understanding and working together to stop groups that dislike Americans as much as Jews, Persians, Shi’as, secular Muslims, and the Saudi monarchy. They should refrain from empowering and expressing blind support for a group or entity without fully understanding it first."
August 20, 2014
By Juliette Kayyem, Lecturer in Public Policy (on Leave)
"Dual-use has the benefit of being both efficient and effective. The firefighter who shows up at a burning building does not wonder, at that moment, whether an arsonist or a careless cigarette smoker is to blame. She just wants to put the fire out. The medics at the Boston Marathon finish line had no idea whether the carnage came from a terrorist attack or a gas explosion. They just implemented their well-honed plans for treating a sudden surge in injuries."
August 14, 2014
By Barak Mendelsohn, Research Fellow, International Security Program
"In other words, ISIS would steal a page right out of al Qaeda's playbook. And that puts more pressure on al Qaeda. After all, if ISIS wins vast territory in the heart of the Middle East, implements Islamic governance, and battles apostate regimes and their backers, al Qaeda will — after refusing to do so — have to give its full support to ISIS. Already, ISIS supporters are calling all jihadi forces to stand behind Omar al-Baghdadi, the leader of ISIS. As a result, the flow of fighters abandoning al Qaeda affiliates to join ISIS, which U.S. intelligence has already observed, is likely to increase."