The Sarajevo Centenary — 1914 and the Rise of China
ISP Director Steven E. Miller wrote the Introduction to The Next Great War? The Roots of World War I & the Risk of U.S.-China Conflict.
Read an excerpted version here>
December 20, 2014
By Charles G. Cogan, Associate, International Security Program
"The matter with Islam is not in its inspirational message but in certain holdover practices from ages ago. To be sure there were abhorrent practices carried out during the Inquisition of the Roman Catholic Church. But that was long ago."
December 18, 2014
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
By Ariane Tabatabai, Associate, International Security Program/Project on Managing the Atom
"In the next seven months, the key challenge will be to manage domestic audiences on both sides. While Rouhani and his delegation are strengthened by Khamenei's support, the Obama administration is going to be challenged by the new Congress. This could prove detrimental to the talks."
December 17, 2014
By Ches Thurber, Research Fellow, International Security Program
From Eastern Europe to South Africa to the Arab Spring, nonviolent action has proven capable of overthrowing autocratic regimes and bringing about revolutionary political change. In fact, recent research suggests that nonviolent movements are more than twice as effective in achieving their goals than violent ones. So why do some political movements nevertheless believe it necessary to take up arms? Can they be convinced otherwise?
December 16, 2014
By Emile Simpson, Ernest May Fellow in History and Policy, International Security Program
The twenty-first century's information revolution creates networked, multi-player, and open-ended conflicts that occupy a grey zone between war and peace. Emile Simpson will propose that this type of dispute is the new normal. His talk will analyse the challenges that arise from this phenomenon and suggest appropriate strategic responses.
December 11, 2014
By Stephen M. Walt, Robert and Renée Belfer Professor of International Affairs; Faculty Chair, International Security Program
"Contrast that admirable clarity and responsiveness with the way that the United States deals with far more costly foreign policy screw-ups. Even when the strategic and/or human consequences are enormous, the U.S. government finds it nearly impossible to evaluate what went wrong in a candid, clear-eyed, and timely manner. It is even harder for the government to assign responsibility for wrongdoing; if anything, officials tend to bend over backward to shield wrongdoers..."
December 10, 2014
The National Interest
By Jayita Sarkar, Stanton Nuclear Security Postdoctoral Fellow, International Security Program/Project on Managing the Atom
"...[T]he key difference between the secular Congress Party-led coalition and the one led by the Hindu nationalist BJP lies in their public-relations management of the bilateral relationship. The former publicly downplays strategic ties between India and Israel, while the latter loudly champions its defense and strategic cooperation with Tel Aviv. Beyond these semantics, however, the Congress Party and the BJP maintain largely similar ties with the Jewish state."
"Racing toward Tragedy? China's Rise, Military Competition in the Asia Pacific, and the Security Dilemma"
International Security, issue 2, volume 39
Claims that the Asia Pacific is ripe for military competition and conflict are overstated. China's surging economy and military spending have contributed to security dilemmas in the region, as have specific conflicts of interest—for instance, over territory. Measures are available, however, to mitigate the action-reaction dynamics of mutual fear, suspicion, and insecurity.