Belfer Center Home > Publications > Academic Papers & Reports > Journal Articles > Nuclear Stability in South Asia

EmailEmail   PrintPrint Bookmark and Share

 
"Nuclear Stability in South Asia"

"Nuclear Stability in South Asia"

Journal Article, International Security, volume 33, issue 2, pages 45-70

Fall 2008

Author: Sumit Ganguly, Editorial Board Member, Quarterly Journal: International Security

 

ABSTRACT

An examination of the onset, evolution, and termination of the 1999 and 2001–02 crises between India and Pakistan suggests that nuclear deterrence is robust in South Asia. Even though the 1999 crisis erupted into a war, its scope and dimensions were carefully circumscribed. Despite its conventional capabilities, India chose not to cross the Line of Control (the de facto international border in the disputed state of Jammu and Kashmir), and it avoided horizontal escalation of the conflict. India’s restraint cannot be attributed either to timely U.S. intervention or to a concern about avoiding a bellicose international image. Instead a highly jingoistic regime, which had defied international public opinion the previous year through a series of nuclear tests, chose to exercise restraint because of Pakistan’s possession of nuclear weapons. In 2001, despite grave Pakistani provocation through a series of terrorist attacks, India could only respond with a strategy of coercive diplomacy.

 

For more information about this publication please contact the IS Editorial Assistant at 617-495-1914.

For Academic Citation:

Sumit Ganguly. "Nuclear Stability in South Asia." International Security 33, no. 2 (Fall 2008): 45-70.

Bookmark and Share

"Preface to Going Nuclear"
By Sean M. Lynn-Jones

Going Nuclear: Nuclear Proliferation and International Security in the 21st Century
By Michael E. Brown, Owen R. Coté, Sean M. Lynn-Jones and Steven E. Miller

"Q&A with Vipin Narang"
By Beth Maclin and Vipin Narang

Preventive Diplomacy and Preventive Defense in South Asia: The U.S. Role
By Warren Christopher, David Hamburg and Dr. William J. Perry

SUBSCRIBE

Receive email updates on the most pressing topics in international affairs and science.

<em>International Security</em>

The spring 2013 issue of the quarterly journal International Security is now available!

Events Calendar

We host a busy schedule of events throughout the fall, winter and spring. Past guests include: UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon, former Vice President Al Gore, and former Russian President Mikhail Gorbachev.