June 24, 2016
Op-Ed, The Washington Post, Monkey Cage Blog
By Amanda J. Rothschild, Research Fellow, International Security Program
"The large number of signatories on the dissenting memo is truly historic, but what's equally significant is that these diplomats have now joined a long line of government dissidents during cases of mass atrocity. These 51 names, as yet unknown, undoubtedly will someday rank alongside Henry Morgenthau Jr., Archer Blood and Marshall Harris, 20th century U.S. government officials who took a stand against U.S. policy in response to mass killings abroad."
June 24, 2016
Russia in Review: a digest of useful news from U.S.-Russia Initiative to Prevent Nuclear Terrorism for June 17-24, 2016
June 24, 2016
An interview by Kourosh Ziabari of Iran Review with Rami Khouri, Senior Fellow at the Belfer Center's Middle East Initiative, about ISIS being the product of decades of economic stagnation, mismanagement, lack of educational opportunities and absence of democratic representation in the Arab world countries.
"Driving Force or Forced Transition?: The Role of Development Cooperation in Promoting Energy Transitions in the Philippines and Morocco"
Journal Article, Journal of Cleaner Production, issue 1, volume 128
This article contributes to the understanding of transitions towards low carbon societies in the developing world. While adding extensive empirical insights from the status of energy transitions in two countries faced with major energy challenges, the Philippines and Morocco, the authors contribution enquires what role external actors like international donors in general, and Germany in particular, can play in such transitions.
June 22, 2016
Op-Ed, The Huffington Post
By Andrew Gawthorpe, Postdoctoral Research Fellow, International Security Program
"Watching the rise of Donald Trump while peering nervously over the Atlantic to watch the EU referendum unfold in my homeland, it has been hard to escape the feeling that they represent two different versions of the same phenomenon. The Leavers may be more genteel than the Donald, but they spring from the same poisoned well. Whatever their claims to the contrary, they are selling the same politics of division and mendacity — just on different sides of the pond."
June 22, 2016
"The French Are Continually Surprised By What They Have Just Done — Raymond Aron, France's Leading Postwar Intellectual"
Op-Ed, The World Post
By Charles G. Cogan, Associate, International Security Program
"For years economists have urged on the French a greater flexibility in labor market legislation, which in shorthand means making it easier to hire and fire workers and thus get the economy going....The French authorities proceeded to ram the new law through the Assembly under the threat of a vote of no-confidence in the government...The French Left retaliated by launching a strike by garbagemen..."
"Quantifying the Effects of Expert Selection and Elicitation Design on Experts' Confidence in Their Judgments About Future Energy Technologies"
Journal Article, Risk Analysis
By Gregory Nemet, Former Visiting Scholar, Science, Technology, and Public Policy Program/Energy Technology Innovation Policy research group, January–June 2011, Laura Diaz Anadon, Assistant Professor of Public Policy, Harvard Kennedy School; Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs and Elena Verdolini
Expert elicitations are now frequently used to characterize uncertain future technology outcomes. However, their usefulness is limited, in part because: estimates across studies are not easily comparable; choices in survey design and expert selection may bias results; and overconfidence is a persistent problem. The authors provide quantitative evidence of how these choices affect experts' estimates.
Seventy-five years ago, on June 22, 1941, Nazi Germany attacked the Soviet Union, betting on a brief war with the firmest of goals, a type of war that came to be known as blitzkrieg.
Making sure that the German attack would catch the Soviets by surprise on a tactical, operational and even strategic level was one of the most important components of planning the blitzkrieg. To that end Berlin conducted an unprecedented disinformation campaign that proved largely successful.
"Open Arms Behind Barred Doors: Fear, Hypocrisy and Policy Schizophrenia in the European Migration Crisis"
Journal Article, European Law Journal, issue 3, volume 22
By Kelly M. Greenhill, Research Fellow, International Security Program
"In 2015, over one million refugees and migrants arrived in Europe, laying bare the limitations of the EU's common border control and burden-sharing systems. This article examines consequences of the EU's disjoint, schizophrenic and, at times, hypocritical responses to what has become known as the European migration crisis."
June 21, 2016
Op-Ed, The News
By Mansoor Ahmed, Stanton Nuclear Security Junior Faculty Fellow, International Security Program/Project on Managing the Atom
"In a complete volte-face the nuclear supplier states that created the NSG (then the London Group) in 1975 due to proliferation concerns raised by India's perfidy are contemplating its inclusion. Paradoxically, that sounds like a death knell of the NSG and the non-proliferation regime."