NORTH AFRICA
May 2007
Population Resettlement in International Conflicts: A Comparative Study
Book
By Arie M. Kacowicz and Pawel Lutomski
"A persuasive set of comparative essays that move us beyond the inaccurate sui generis claims routinely applied to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict."—Prof. Thomas G. Weiss, Director, Ralph Bunche Institute for International Studies, The CUNY Graduate Center
September 2006
The Fog of Peace and War Planning: Military and Strategic Planning under Uncertainty
Book
By Talbot C. Imlay and Monica Duffy Toft, Associate Professor of Public Policy
This volume sets out to examine and analyse how governments and military organizations planned for an uncertain and potentially threatening future during four different peacetime periods spanning from the beginning of the nineteenth century to the aftermath of the Second World War.
September 6, 2006
"Strategic and Military Planning under the Fog of Peace"
Book Chapter
By Monica Duffy Toft, Associate Professor of Public Policy and Talbot C. Imlay
"...in their scope and diversity, the cases provide an excellent overview of the challenges confronting military planners over the last two hundred years."
September 6, 2006
"From the Fall of France to the Force de Frappe: the Remaking of French Military Power, 1940-62"
Book Chapter
By Charles G. Cogan, Associate, International Security Program
"...de Gaulle had a longer-term view of France's potential foes than most military officers, which allowed him to see beyond the immediate needs of colonial wars."
September 6, 2006
"Conclusion: Seven Lessons Learned from the Fog of Peace"
Book Chapter
By Talbot C. Imlay and Monica Duffy Toft, Associate Professor of Public Policy
"...the fog of peace can never be entirely pierced. Flexibility and constant cultivation of the ability to question received wisdom and to reconsider assumptions are the best security against catastrophic failure in a future war, regardless of whether that war resembles a more traditional interstate war or the current war on terror."
July 2006
"Religion, Civil War, and International Order"
Discussion Paper
By Monica Duffy Toft, Associate Professor of Public Policy
This article addresses the question of why religion becomes a central issue in some civil wars whereas in others—even many of those whose primary combatants identify strongly with a particular religion—it has not.
AP Photo
December 2007
"Draining the Sea by Filling the Graves: Investigating the Effectiveness of Indiscriminate Violence as a Counterinsurgency Strategy"
Journal Article, Civil Wars, The Origins and Effectiveness of Insurgent and Counterinsurgent Strategies, issue 4, volume 9
By Alexander B. Downes, Former Research Fellow, International Security Program, 2007-2008
"It is commonly believed in the literature on insurgency and counterinsurgency that to be effective in undermining civilian support for guerrillas, violence against noncombatants must be selective or risk alienating the population. Yet cases exist where governments have defeated insurgencies by wielding indiscriminate violence against noncombatants. This paper explores the conditions under which such violence can be effective through a case study of British counterinsurgency strategy in the Second Anglo-Boer War (1899–1902)."
AP Photo
April-June 2006
"Turkey's Energy Policies in a Tight Global Energy Market"
Journal Article, Insight Turkey, issue 2, volume 8
By Brenda Shaffer, Former Research Fellow, International Security Program, 1999-2000; Former Research Director, Caspian Studies Project, 2004-2007
Despite this extensive activity in the energy sphere, it seems, however, that Ankara's energy policy has been undertaken without a strategic plan and with little integration of energy issues into Turkey's overall foreign and security policies.
February, 2006
"Egypt: The Year of the Elections and Elusive Political Reforms"
Journal Article
By Emad Shahin, Former Faculty Affiliate, The Dubai Initiative
The year 2005 was a momentous, yet turbulent one for Egypt. The country witnessed two major elections, presidential
and parliamentary, a vibrant movement towards political reform,
and a remarkable political mobility. All this came against a background of internal domestic pressures on the regime to expand the scope of pluralism,and amidst concerns that President Mubarak would run for office for a fifth term, thus ruling Egypt for 29 years.The increased interest of external actors, particularly the US and the EU, in
political reforms has also prompted the regime to introduce a series of
measures that allowed the country, for the first time since it became a republic, to have a multi-candidate presidential elections and a relativelymore contested legislative elections.
Winter 2005/06
"Who 'Won' Libya? The Force-Diplomacy Debate and Its Implications for Theory and Policy"
Journal Article, International Security, issue 3, volume 30
By Bruce Jentleson and Christopher Whytock
When Libya announced in December 2003 that it was abandoning its nuclear, biological, and chemical weapons programs and settling the Pan Am flight 103 terrorism case, the United States government was quick to claim credit for bringing a "rogue state" to heel. President George W. Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney argued that Libya was influenced by the U.S. use of force to topple regimes in Afghanistan and Iraq. Others claimed that diplomacy and economic incentives were more important than the threat of force. Who and what actually "won" Libya? Bruce Jentleson and Christopher Whytock offer a comprehensive analysis that reveals that deft diplomacy played a major role in changing Libyan policies.
