CASPIAN SEA REGION
AP Photo
April 2012
"The Dynamics of Russia’s Response to the Piracy Threat"
Journal Article, NATO Science for Peace and Security Studies, issue E: Human and Societal Dynamics, volume 95
By Simon Saradzhyan, Fellow, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
Russia’s Maritime Doctrine describes “maritime shipments” as being of “vital importance” to the country. Maritime shipments have accounted for 60 percent of Russia’s foreign trade shipments in the recent years. However, vessels bearing the Russian flag account only for 4 percent of Russia’s foreign trade shipments. And the Russian fishing fleet remains relatively near to Russia’s shores, not venturing into the Indian and South Pacific Oceans.
AP Photo
November 14, 2011
"A Model in Others' Eyes, Turkey Sees Itself Anew"
Op-Ed, Boston Globe
By Juliette Kayyem, Lecturer in Public Policy
"For years, Turkey has sought to join the European Union and has promoted internal democratic reforms to convince Western democracies it was one of them. But Turkey's closest European neighbor — Greece — has now installed [a] technocrat to save itself from economic ruin. The EU is teetering. Turkey's economy is more sound than those of many EU nations, making future membership a questionable prize."
AP Photo
March 21, 2011
"Turkey's Regional Leadership in the Middle East: Principle or Realpolitik?"
Op-Ed, Turkey Analyst
By Joshua W. Walker, Former Research Fellow, International Security Program, 2010–2011
"Turkey's position on Libya is basically rooted in its large investments in the country and close personal contacts between its leaders. In addition to the well-publicized "human rights" award that Erdoğan received from Qaddafi in December 2010, there are more pressing national economic interests at play. Over the past ten years Turkey has won almost all lucrative construction contracts in Libya and consequently as many as 30,000 Turkish citizens were working and doing business in Libya at the time of the uprisings."
AP Photo
March 6, 2011
"Turkey's Grand Miscalculation on Libya"
Op-Ed, Boston Globe
By Nader Habibi and Joshua W. Walker, Former Research Fellow, International Security Program, 2010–2011
"If the behavior of Iranian government after the 1979 revolution and the Kuwaiti government after it was liberated from Iraqi occupation in 1991 can shed light on how a post-Khadafy government will behave in Libya, then Turkey would be better off to reconsider its position. In both cases the new governments in power politicized their foreign trade and contract awarding procedures. Nations that were perceived to have been friendly during the struggle were rewarded with profitable contracts while those perceived to have been hostile were ignored. If Turkey does not join the countries that are putting more and more pressure on Moammar Khadafy, it risks losing not only its hard earned credibility in the region as a champion of democracy but also its access to the Libyan economy after Khadafy is defeated."
AP Photo
February 13, 2011
"Turkish Lessons, if Any, for Egypt"
Op-Ed, Boston Globe
By Joshua W. Walker, Former Research Fellow, International Security Program, 2010–2011
"Because it must compete, the AKP also speaks to Turks across a much wider range of issues. Today the AKP speaks for a large portion of the Turkish voters who want to see changes made in the approach and character of both their Republic and its international relations toward the West and Israel. With a majority of the Turkish parliament and municipal administrations controlled by the AKP since 2002, the very structure of the secular Turkish Republic is beginning to change. Not through a radical revolution, but rather through an incremental and technical process mandated by the Turkish constitution, something the Brotherhood has never been a part of in Egypt. The AKP draws its strength from its pragmatism not its ideology...."
December 23, 2010
Russia in Review
Media Feature
An update from U.S.-Russia Initiative to Prevent Nuclear Terrorism for December 17-23, 2010.
AP Photo
September 2010
"Defending the Nation? Maintaining Turkey's Narrative of the Armenian Genocide"
Journal Article, South European Society and Politics, issue 3, volume 15
By Jennifer M. Dixon, Former Research Fellow, International Security Program, 2009–2012
"On the Armenian question, AKP has demonstrated some willingness to reconsider the issue, and has taken steps in the direction of change. Over the past several years, especially under the leadership of President Abdullah Gul, AKP has engaged in a gradual rapprochement with Armenia, culminating in the October 2009 signing of a protocol to establish diplomatic relations by the foreign ministers of Turkey and Armenia. While this step does not constitute a change in the official narrative, the two states have agreed in principle to the creation of a subcommittee to look into the 'historical dimension', which could lead to change in the future."
AP Photo
December 4, 2010
"The European Union and Future Nuclear Talks"
Op-Ed
By Kayhan Barzegar, Former Associate, Project on Managing the Atom/International Security Program, 2010–2011; Former Research Fellow, Project on Managing the Atom/international Security Program, 2007–2010
"The weakening of the EU's role as an independent and mediatory player in the nuclear talks, however, beyond economic losses, could bring negative strategic and political consequences for the EU's status in the entire Middle East, which could in turn damage the region's interests. The new economic sanctions will preclude the opportunity of investment by the EU in Iran's gas and oil sectors, thus decreasing trade and commerce between the two—a shift of policy that provoked a sharp rise in China's activities in those sectors."
AP Photo
December 2, 2010
"Will Turkey Remain an American Ally?"
Op-Ed, The Providence Journal
By Joshua W. Walker, Former Research Fellow, International Security Program, 2010–2011
"The rise of the conservative Justice and Development Party (AKP) and its Muslim worldview as the dominant and unrivaled force in Turkish politics, as demonstrated by Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan's successful approval of a Sept. 12 constitutional referendum, has only heightened fears among many in Washington. Rather than seeing further democratization in Turkey and noting the domestic pressures facing a populist AKP government, they see a final nail in the coffins of the military and secular elites that once protected U.S. interests."
AP Photo
November 2010
"Institutions for International Climate Governance"
Policy Brief
By Harvard Project on Climate Agreements
The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) has significant advantages but also real challenges as a venue for international negotiations on climate change policy. In the wake of the Fifteenth Conference of the Parties (COP-15) in Copenhagen, December 2009, it is important to reflect on institutional options going forward for negotiating and implementing climate change policy.
