JAPAN
AP Photo
July 14, 2009
"Will US-Japan Alliance Survive?"
Op-Ed, The Korea Times
By Joseph S. Nye, Harvard University Distinguished Service Professor
"...[T]he U.S.-Japan alliance will have to face a new set of transnational challenges to our vital interests, such as pandemics, terrorism, and human outflows from failed states. Chief among these challenges is the threat posed by global warming, with China having surpassed the U.S. as the leading producer of carbon-dioxide emissions (though not in per capita terms)."
AP Photo
June 25, 2009
"Joseph Nye's Testimony from Hearings on 'Japan's Changing Role'"
Testimony
By Joseph S. Nye, Harvard University Distinguished Service Professor
Joseph S. Nye testified before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs' Subcommittee on Asia, the Pacific and the Global Environment on "Japan's Changing Role" on June 25, 2009.
AP Photo
June 19, 2009
"Don't Play Nuclear Chicken with a Desperate Pariah"
Magazine or Newspaper Article, Foreign Policy
By Hui Zhang, Senior Research Associate, Project on Managing the Atom
"This game of escalation will go on and on until North Korea gets what it desires most from Washington: a reliable security assurance. Of course, no one likes to yield to dictators. But ultimately, playing chicken with a desperate and nuclear-armed North Korea is too risky to endeavor. The more isolated the North Koreans become, the more likely they will be to use the nuclear card in threatening two hostages: South Korea and Japan. Everyone loses that game"
Summer 2008
"Divining Nuclear Intentions: A Review Essay"
Journal Article, International Security, issue 1, volume 33
By William C. Potter and Gaukhar Mukhatzhanova
Although projections of nuclear proliferation abound, they rarely are founded on empirical research or guided by theory. Even fewer studies are informed by a comparative perspective. The two books under review—The Psychology of Nuclear Proliferation: Identity, Emotions, and Foreign Policy, by Jacques Hymans, and Nuclear Logics: Alternative Paths in East Asia and the Middle East, by Etel Solingen, are welcome exceptions to this general state of affairs, and represent the cutting edge of nonproliferation research. Both works challenge conventional conceptions of the sources of nuclear weapons decisions and offer new insights into why past predictions of rapid proliferation failed to materialize and why current prognoses about rampant proliferation are similarly flawed. While sharing a number of common features, including a focus on subsystemic determinants of national behavior, the books differ in their methodology, level of analysis, receptivity to multicausal explanations, and assumptions about decisionmaker rationality and the revolutionary nature of the decision. Where one author emphasizes the importance of the individual leader’s national identity conception in determining a state’s nuclear path, the other explains nuclear decisions primarily with regard to the political-economic orientation of the ruling coalition. Notwithstanding a tendency to overinterpret evidence, the books represent the best of contemporary social science research and provide compelling interpretations of nuclear proliferation dynamics of great relevance to scholars and policymakers alike.
January 1, 2008
"Correspondence: Do Small Arsenals Deter?"
Journal Article, International Security, issue 3, volume 32
By Ward Wilson, Rajesh M. Basrur and Michael D. Cohen
Rajesh Basrur and Michael Cohen respond to Ward Wilson's Spring 2007 International Security article, "The Winning Weapon? Rethinking Nuclear Weapons in Light of Hiroshima."
parivartan111
July 19, 2007
Growing Links for US and India
Op-Ed, Boston Globe
By Xenia Dormandy, Former Senior Associate, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
As the centerpiece of the transformed relationship, there is enormous political will to complete the deal, but the devil is in the details.
Spring 2007
"Why Japan Will Not Go Nuclear (Yet): International and Domestic Constraints on the Nuclearization of Japan"
Journal Article, International Security, issue 4, volume 31
Japan's experience in 1945 led it to declare that it will never become a nuclear weapons state. But changes in the regional and international security environments (i.e., a nuclear North Korea and an erosion of multilateral regimes) indicate at least some potential benefit in rethinking this policy. In fact, neither public opinion nor the actions of policymakers support the development of an independent nuclear deterrent. Japan's leaders remain more interested both in strengthening their country's existing "insurance policies" against the threat of a nuclear attack (in particular, the U.S. nuclear deterrent), and in developing their civilian nuclear program to guarantee energy security. At least for the time being, the costs of Japan becoming a nuclear state outweigh the benefits.
Spring 2007
"The Winning Weapon? Rethinking Nuclear Weapons in Light of Hiroshima"
Journal Article, International Security, issue 4, volume 31
By Ward Wilson
The atomic bombing of Hiroshima on August 6, 1945 , and the Japanese surrender that followed, have been crucial in shaping scholars' and decisionmakers' views of the influence of nuclear weapons on policymaking. New research from Japanese, Soviet, and U.S. archives, suggests, however, that Hiroshima may have played virtually no role in ending the war in the Pacific. Rather, the Soviet Union 's declaration of war against Japan on August 9 and subsequent invasion of Manchuria convinced the Japanese leadership of the need to surrender. This reappraisal could have a profound impact on how nuclear weapons will be perceived in the future.
Winter 2006-07
"Preventive Defense Project Advances Dialogue on Iran, the Korean Peninsula, and China"
Newsletter Article, Belfer Center Newsletter
The Preventive Defense Project (PDP), co-directed by Ashton B. Carter and William J. Perry, conducted workshops and provided testimony this fall to inform highlevel discussions on North Korea, Japan, and China. Carter testified before Congress on Iran, PDP hosted an academic symposium highlighting the changing dynamics of the Korean Peninsula, and the directors led a delegation to Honolulu to meet with Chinese leaders on strategic security issues.
Winter 2005-06
"Notable Quotes"
Newsletter Article, Belfer Center Newsletter
Notable quotes from opeds and testimonies.
