SOUTH KOREA
January 3, 2008
"Keeping an Eye on an Unruly Neighbor: Chinese Views of Economic Reform and Stability in North Korea"
Working Paper
By Bonnie Glaser, Scott Snyder and John Park, Associate, Project on Managing the Atom
"Beijing viewed North Korea's explosion of a nuclear device in October 2006 as not only an act of defiance to the international community and a threat to regional stability, but also an act of defiance toward China. Chinese officials admit that their toolbox for managing the North Korean nuclear weapons challenge must now include a combination of pressure and inducements."
November 14, 2007
Global Forecast: The Top Security Challenges of 2008
Report
By Carola McGiffert and Craig Cohen
This volume of essays showcases CSIS's collective wisdom on the most important security issues facing America in 2008—the major political, military, and economic challenges likely to have strategic implications for the nation. Some of these challenges depend on political developments in other countries, while others hinge on U.S. actions. Some are regional in focus; others have transnational or global reach. All have the potential to expand into full-scale crises and must be watched and managed carefully.
September 26, 2007
Securing the Bomb 2007
Book
By Matthew Bunn, Senior Research Associate, Project on Managing the Atom
Managing the Atom Senior Research Associate Matthew Bunn provides a comprehensive assessment of efforts to secure and remove vulnerable nuclear stockpiles around the world, and a detailed action plan for reducing the risk of nuclear terrorism. Securing the Bomb 2007 was commissioned by the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI). The full report, with additional information on the threat of nuclear terrorism, is available on the NTI website.
August 2007
Reassessing Security Cooperation in the Asia-Pacific: Competition, Congruence, and Transformation
Book
By Amitav Acharya and Evelyn Goh
Since the 1990s, Asia-Pacific countries have changed their approaches to security cooperation and regional order. The end of the Cold War, the resurgence of China, the Asian economic crisis, and the events of September 11, 2001, have all contributed to important changes in the Asia-Pacific security architecture.
August 2007
"Modes of Regional Conflict Management: Comparing Security Cooperation in the Korean Peninsula, China-Taiwan, and the South China Sea"
Book Chapter
By Rosemary Foot, Former Research Fellow, International Security Program
"Analysts focusing on the prospects for inter-state war or peace in the Asia-Pacific invariably have pointed to the Korean Peninsula (KP), China/Taiwan (CT), and the South China Sea (SCS) conflicts as the potential "flash points" or "hot spots" of the region...."
Summer 2007
"Revisiting North Korea's Nuclear Test"
Journal Article, China Security, issue 3, volume 3
By Hui Zhang, Research Associate, Project on Managing the Atom
Hui Zhang re-examines the North Korean explosion on October 9, 2006. His research suggests that the test was likely not a failure if Pyongyang had planned for a yield of 4 kt, as it told Beijing prior to the event.
Spring 2007
"From Prediction to Learning: Opening Experts' Minds to Unfolding History"
Journal Article, International Security, issue 4, volume 31
By Richard Herrmann and Jong Kun Choi
No expert in the academic or intelligence community can predict the future, but they should at least be able to accurately analyze and quickly update their beliefs to craft effective policy. Too often, experts not only forget what they used to believe, but also see little connection between explaining the past and predicting the future. A two-year case study of fifteen Korean experts examines their initial predictions about security on the Korean Peninsula and demonstrates how a Bayesian approach helped them first to empirically analyze their theories, and then to successfully update them based on events that actually transpired.
February 25, 2007
"Changes Afoot on the Diplomatic Stage"
Op-Ed, The Boston Globe
By Seyom Brown, Senior Fellow, International Security Program
"POLICY ANALYSTS in Cambridge and policy wonks in Washington are all astir , trying to ascertain whether the anti-US rhetoric by President Vladimir Putin of Russia at a conference in Munich was mainly for his home audience or signaled a resurgent rivalry with the United States...."
Photo by: Deborah Gordon
February 22, 2007
Carter and Perry lead U.S. delegation to South Korea for Track II security dialogue
Press Release
From February 18-22, 2007, PDP Co-Directors Ashton B. Carter and William J. Perry led a U.S. delegation to the Republic of Korea to meet with prominent South Korean politicians, experts, and potential presidential candidates.
November 6, 2006
Ashton Carter appointed to Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice’s International Security Advisory Board
Press Release
At a November 6, 2006 swearing-in at the State Department, Preventive Defense Project Co-Director and Kennedy School of Government professor Ashton B. Carter became a member of Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice’s International Security Advisory Board (ISAB) which is charged with providing advice on a wide range of issues affecting national security.
