BALKANS
2007
Understanding Victory and Defeat in Contemporary War
Book
By Jan Angstrom and Isabelle Duyvesteyn
Bringing together leading contributors in the field, this volume analyses how victory and defeat in modern war can be understood and explained.
October 4, 2006
Gambling on Humanitarian Intervention: Moral Hazard, Rebellion and Civil War
Book
By Alan Kuperman, Former Research Fellow, International Security Program, 2000–2001 and Timothy Crawford, Former Associate, International Security Program, 2006-2009
September 2006
The Fog of Peace and War Planning: Military and Strategic Planning under Uncertainty
Book
By Talbot C. Imlay and Monica Duffy Toft, Associate Professor of Public Policy
This volume sets out to examine and analyse how governments and military organizations planned for an uncertain and potentially threatening future during four different peacetime periods spanning from the beginning of the nineteenth century to the aftermath of the Second World War.
July, 2003
Comrades No More: The Seeds of Change in Eastern Europe
Book
By Renee de Nevers, Former Research Fellow, International Security Program, 1995-1998
In 1989, Soviet control over Eastern Europe ended when the communist regimes of the Warsaw Pact collapsed. These momentous and largely bloodless events set the stage for the end of the Cold War and ushered in a new era in international politics. Why did communism collapse relatively peacefully in Eastern Europe? Why did these changes occur in 1989, after more than four decades of communist rule? Why did this upheaval happen almost simultaneously in most of the Warsaw Pact?
March 1999
Preventive Defense: A New Security Strategy for America
Book
By Dr. Ashton B. Carter, Co-Director, Preventive Defense Project (on leave), Harvard & Stanford Universities and Dr. William J. Perry, Former Co-Director, Preventive Defense Project
"The most important book by any ex-Clinton official."
-Thomas L. Friedman, The New York Times (April 16, 1999)
2007
"How to Lose a War on Terror: A Comparative Analysis of a Counterinsurgency Success and Failure"
Book Chapter
By Ivan Arreguin-Toft, Former Research Fellow, International Security Program, 2002-2009
"If it is true that every strategy has an ideal counterstrategy, then understanding how to counter terrorism demands some understanding of terrorism as a strategy."
October 4, 2006
Third-Party Intervention and Escalation in Kosovo: Does Moral Hazard Explain It?
Book Chapter
By Arman Grigorian, Former Research Fellow, Intrastate Conflict Program/International Security Program, 2002-2004
September 6, 2006
"Strategic and Military Planning under the Fog of Peace"
Book Chapter
By Monica Duffy Toft, Associate Professor of Public Policy and Talbot C. Imlay
"...in their scope and diversity, the cases provide an excellent overview of the challenges confronting military planners over the last two hundred years."
September 6, 2006
"Conclusion: Seven Lessons Learned from the Fog of Peace"
Book Chapter
By Talbot C. Imlay and Monica Duffy Toft, Associate Professor of Public Policy
"...the fog of peace can never be entirely pierced. Flexibility and constant cultivation of the ability to question received wisdom and to reconsider assumptions are the best security against catastrophic failure in a future war, regardless of whether that war resembles a more traditional interstate war or the current war on terror."
