NORTH KOREA -- NUCLEAR PROGRAM
AP Photo
December 6, 2010
"[PS] North Korean Enigma"
Op-Ed, The Korea Times
By Joseph S. Nye, Harvard University Distinguished Service Professor
"China does not want a nuclear or belligerent North Korea, but it is even more concerned about a failed state collapsing on its border. China has tried to persuade Kim's regime to follow its market-oriented example, but Kim is afraid that an economic opening would lead to a political opening and loss of dictatorial control. So, while China is trying to moderate the current crisis, its influence is limited."
(AP Photo/CIA)
December 6, 2010
"Break the Silence on Syria's Nuclear Program"
Op-Ed, Wall Street Journal
By Graham Allison, Director, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs; Douglas Dillon Professor of Government, Harvard Kennedy School and Olli Heinonen, Senior Fellow, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
If Israel had not bombed the Al-Kibar reactor site in an air strike in September 2007, it would be producing plutonium by now for Syria's first nuclear bomb," write Belfer Center Director Graham Allison and former IAEA Deputy Director Olli Heinonen. "But this violation of Syria's treaty commitments was not discovered by IAEA inspectors....So it has been convenient for world powers to let Syria slip off the radar and to move on as if these events had not occurred." This silence, the authors argue, must be broken.
AP Images
November 24, 2010
"Why We're Always Fooled by North Korea"
Op-Ed, Wall Street Journal
By William H. Tobey, Senior Fellow, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
"This nuclear revelation is not an intelligence failure. Over the past decade, intelligence analysts have consistently predicted North Korea's path to nuclear weapons and noted the increasing evidence of its missile and nuclear proliferation. The failure has been that of policy makers and pundits who denigrated the analysis, ignored it, or clung to the fallacy that North Korea would abide by a denuclearization deal."
AP Images
November 23, 2010
"Peninsula of Fear"
Op-Ed, City Journal
By William H. Tobey, Senior Fellow, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
"The Yongbyon revelations have prompted intense debate within policy circles about North Korea's capabilities and intentions-for instance, about whether North Korea was able to build the new enrichment facility without foreign help and about what it intends to do with this plant and more broadly, with its nuclear program. Some hope that Pyongyang wants to use the facility as a bargaining chip and that it may scale back its program to get sanctions lifted and secure normal relations with the U.S. and other nations. But more officials take the pessimistic view that Pyongyang unveiled the new facility to persuade Washington and its allies to accept North Korea as a member of the nuclear-weapons club."
Gleitzman Center
Winter 2010-11
"Countdown to Zero Draws Heavily from Center Experts and Research"
Newsletter Article, Belfer Center Newsletter
By Sasha Talcott, Former Director of Communications and Outreach
When the Academy Award-winning producer of An Inconvenient Truth, Lawrence Bender, wanted to create a new nuclear proliferation film, he turned to leading experts at the Belfer Center.
Winter 2010-11
"Q&A with Olli Heinonen"
Newsletter Article, Belfer Center Newsletter
We asked Olli Heinonen, senior fellow in the Belfer Center, to reflect on Iran's nuclear program and his 27 year career in the International Atomic Energy Agency.
November 13-15, 2010
"Next Steps to Strengthen Nuclear Security and Prevent Nuclear Terrorism"
Presentation
By Matthew Bunn, Associate Professor of Public Policy; Co-Principal Investigator, Project on Managing the Atom
Matthew Bunn presented "Next Steps to Strengthen Nuclear Security and Prevent Nuclear Terrorism" at the XVIII Edoardo Amaldi Conference on “International Security and the Role of Scientific Academies” Rome, Italy in November 2010.
AP Photo
October 2010
"Culture of China's Mediation in Regional and International Affairs"
Journal Article, Conflict Resolution Quarterly, issue 1, volume 28
By Xiaohui (Anne) Wu, Former Associate, International Security Program/Project on Managing the Atom, 2007–2010; Former Research Fellow, International Security Program/Project on Managing the Atom, 2004–2007 and Jason Qian
Currently there seems to be an increasing interest in and demand for China's mediation in resolving conflict. To certain extent, such a phenomenon is associated with China's re-emerging power. But more importantly, it is probably the style and skills of China's mediation that matter, which represents the emerging of a unique mediation culture, with China being its messenger. The paper examines key elements of such a mediation culture, using examples of China's mediation in regional and international affairs. The shaping of such a culture offers good lessons for mediators around the world who strive for effective conflict resolution.
AP Photo
September 28, 2010
"North Korea's Leadership Succession: The China Factor"
Policy Memo
By John S. Park, Associate, Project on Managing the Atom
On September 28, North Korean state media announced that Kim Jong-il's third son, Kim Jong-eun, was promoted to the rank of four-star general just prior to the opening of the Workers' Party of Korea conference. Kim Jong-eun was later named vice chairman of the Party's Central Military Commission at the conference. These important developments follow the late August meeting between Chinese President Hu Jintao and North Korean leader Kim Jong-il in Changchun, near the Sino-DPRK border, which appears to have cleared the way for this Party conference. After the meeting, both countries' state media reported the leaders' support for the rising generation of the Party — a clear reference to Kim Jong-eun.
September/October 2010
"Graham T. Allison: The Congenital Optimist"
Magazine or Newspaper Article, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
By Graham Allison, Director, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs; Douglas Dillon Professor of Government, Harvard Kennedy School
Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, Graham Allison, director of the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at Harvard Kennedy School, has consistently warned policy makers about the dangers of a nuclear weapon falling into the hands of terrorist groups such as al Qaeda. Allison spoke with the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists about what he thinks needs to be done today to turn rhetoric about tightening nuclear security into stronger action.
