CHINA AND NUCLEAR ISSUES
May 25, 2009
China's Nuclear Fuel Cycle: A Case Study of FMCT Verification
Presentation
By Hui Zhang, Research Associate, Project on Managing the Atom
Hui Zhang presented "China's Nuclear Fuel Cycle: A Case Study of FMCT Verification" at the SIPRI Seminar, Verifying a Fissile Material Cut-off Treaty: Technical Issues and Political Choices, UNDIR, Palais des Nations, Geneva, on May 25, 2009.
May 6, 2009
Case Study: The Rise of China and the Global Economic Crisis
Memorandum
By Graham Allison, Director, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs; Douglas Dillon Professor of Government; Faculty Chair, Dubai Initiative, Harvard Kennedy School and Meghan O'Sullivan, Jeane Kirkpatrick Professor of International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School
U.S.-Chinese relations have remained on a fairly consistent trendline over the decades since Beijing started its policy of reform and opening. Chinese leaders have emphasized their commitment to economic growth über alles, characterizing China's emergence as a "peaceful rise," and restraining expansionist political ambitions in the region and beyond. American leaders have sought to entice China into the existing order through the global trading system and other international institutions, while hedging against the country's increasing might.
May 1, 2009
"U.S.-China Relations: Key Next Steps"
News
By Beth Maclin, Communications Assistant
With the United States and China expected to be the two dominant powers in the twenty-first century, it is essential that they actively manage their relationship to avoid military conflict, a group of distinguished Chinese and American scholars said at a major conference in Washington, D.C. The scholars—from Harvard Kennedy School, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and elsewhere—have worked together for more than two years to create a blueprint for a new relationship between the two countries.
April 16, 2009
"How to Deal with N. Korea"
Op-Ed, Boston Globe
By Hui Zhang, Research Associate, Project on Managing the Atom
Hui Zhang's Op-Ed in the Boston Globe argues that negotiations with North Korea must resume immediately on denuclearization, or there is a risk that North Korea may conduct further tests on its long-range missiles or even another nuclear explosion.
April 14, 2009
"Do Not Let the Rocket Launch Block North Korean Denuclearization"
Op-Ed, The Nautilus Institute
By Hui Zhang, Research Associate, Project on Managing the Atom
Hui Zhang writes in a Nautilus Institute Policy Forum Online Op-Ed that despite North Korea's recent missile test, "Each side should take reciprocal actions to show their good-faith commitment to the North Korean denuclearization...From China's perspective, the first step should be taken by the side with the least to lose. This is not North Korea...Washington should take the first step that will eventually lead to North Korean denuclearisation."
November 18, 2008
Securing the Bomb 2008
Book
By Matthew Bunn, Associate Professor of Public Policy; Co-Principal Investigator, Project on Managing the Atom; Co-Principal Investigator, Energy Research, Development, Demonstration, and Deployment (ERD3) Policy Project
Associate Professor of Public Policy and Project on Managing the Atom Co-Principal Investigator Matthew Bunn provides a comprehensive assessment of efforts to secure and remove vulnerable nuclear stockpiles around the world, and a detailed action plan for reducing the risk of nuclear terrorism. Securing the Bomb 2008 was commissioned by the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI). The full report, with additional information on the threat of nuclear terrorism, is available on the NTI website.
November 18, 2008
Preventing Nuclear Terrorism: An Agenda for the Next President
Report
By Matthew Bunn, Associate Professor of Public Policy; Co-Principal Investigator, Project on Managing the Atom; Co-Principal Investigator, Energy Research, Development, Demonstration, and Deployment (ERD3) Policy Project and Andrew Newman, Research Associate, Project on Managing the Atom
Matthew Bunn and Andrew Newman outline specific steps that President-elect Obama should take to reduce the threat of nuclear terrorism to a fraction of its current level during his first term in office. This paper summarizes the recommendations in Securing the Bomb 2008 and provides additional detail on organizing the U.S. government to prevent nuclear terrorism and on steps that should be taken during the transition and the opening weeks of the new administration.
October 27, 2008
"Engage China in Nuclear-Proliferation Issue"
Op-Ed, The Providence Journal
By Xiaohui (Anne) Wu, Associate, International Security Program/Project on Managing the Atom
"Because of its perceived balanced stance on North Korea and Iran, China occupies the formidable middle ground and could play a constructive role in facilitating a solution that avoids full-scale crisis. The United States should encourage China to continue its constructive intervention: no nuclear-weapons program, no escalating confrontations, but continued, flexible dialogue....The United States can facilitate China’s efforts on regional arms control and security by maintaining consistent standards. Supporting nuclear trade with India, which stands outside of the nuclear non-proliferation treaty, blurs those standards...."
Summer 2008
"Divining Nuclear Intentions: A Review Essay"
Journal Article, International Security, issue 1, volume 33
By William C. Potter and Gaukhar Mukhatzhanova
Although projections of nuclear proliferation abound, they rarely are founded on empirical research or guided by theory. Even fewer studies are informed by a comparative perspective. The two books under review—The Psychology of Nuclear Proliferation: Identity, Emotions, and Foreign Policy, by Jacques Hymans, and Nuclear Logics: Alternative Paths in East Asia and the Middle East, by Etel Solingen, are welcome exceptions to this general state of affairs, and represent the cutting edge of nonproliferation research. Both works challenge conventional conceptions of the sources of nuclear weapons decisions and offer new insights into why past predictions of rapid proliferation failed to materialize and why current prognoses about rampant proliferation are similarly flawed. While sharing a number of common features, including a focus on subsystemic determinants of national behavior, the books differ in their methodology, level of analysis, receptivity to multicausal explanations, and assumptions about decisionmaker rationality and the revolutionary nature of the decision. Where one author emphasizes the importance of the individual leader’s national identity conception in determining a state’s nuclear path, the other explains nuclear decisions primarily with regard to the political-economic orientation of the ruling coalition. Notwithstanding a tendency to overinterpret evidence, the books represent the best of contemporary social science research and provide compelling interpretations of nuclear proliferation dynamics of great relevance to scholars and policymakers alike.
2008
"La Cina e le Bombe Asiatiche"
Journal Article, Aspenia, issue 41
By Xiaohui (Anne) Wu, Associate, International Security Program/Project on Managing the Atom
As a progressively responsible and cooperative partner of the global, nuclear non-proliferation regime, China faces challenges on multiple fronts that have brought judgment, reflection, and debate, domestically as well as internationally, on its non-proliferation policy. Since 1980s, China's historical reservations about, and skepticism and independence of, the global non-proliferation regime have consequently been gradually transitioning to active participation in and even integration with, as well as strong support of, the process.
