CHINA AND NUCLEAR ISSUES
September 12, 2003
We're Still Vulnerable
Op-Ed, Boston Globe
By Graham Allison, Director, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs; Douglas Dillon Professor of Government; Faculty Chair, Dubai Initiative, Harvard Kennedy School
Observing the second anniversary of Al Qaeda's assault on the World Trade Center and Pentagon, administration spokesmen sought to highlight progress in the war on terrorism to support President Bush's claim that we're getting safer every day. But if one stands back and asks whether Americans are actually safer from terrorist attacks than we were 12 months ago, a serious answer requires a net assessment. Our safety is a function not only of what our government does, but also of changes in our adversaries' capabilities and motivation.
Spring 2003
"Is China a Status Quo Power?"
Journal Article, International Security, issue 4, volume 27
Many commentators wonder whether China is a status quo power that will continue to comply with regional and international norms or whether it is a revisionist power increasingly willing to challenge U.S. hegemony.
Spring 2003
"Getting Asia Wrong: The Need for New Analytical Frameworks"
Journal Article, International Security, issue 4, volume 27
By David Kang
How successfully has international relations theory captured the post–Cold War Asian experience? David Kang argues that Western scholars are “getting Asia wrong.”
August 2002
"FMCT and PAROS: A Chinese Perspective"
Journal Article, INESAP Bulletin, issue 20
By Hui Zhang, Research Associate, Project on Managing the Atom
"China has numerous serious security concerns about US space weaponization proposals and missile defense plans. These concerns would directly affect China's attitude toward the FMCT negotiations...."
July 2002
Preventing Inadvertent War: Problems and Prospects for Sino-American Crisis Management
Paper
PDP paper on Sino-American Crisis Management Procedures, Practices, and Organization
Summer 2001
"National Missile Defense and the Future of U.S. Nuclear Weapons Policy"
Journal Article, International Security, issue 1, volume 26
By Steve Fetter, Affiliate, Project on Managing the Atom and Charles Glaser, Former Research Fellow, International Security Program, 1982-1985
As the debate on a U.S. national missile defense intensifies, the decision about whether the United States should develop an NMD system seems to be giving way to questions over the type of system to be deployed and its scope: For example, should the United States pursue NMD against Russia or China? What are the possible security benefits and costs of limited NMD? What can the United States do to counter the international political fallout of limited NMD?
Winter 2000/01
"Whether to "Strangle the Baby in the Cradle": The United States and the Chinese Nuclear Program, 1960-64"
Journal Article, International Security, issue 3, volume 25
By William Burr and Jeffrey T. Richelson
Based on an exhaustive study of newly declassified documents, the authors report that the Kennedy administration embarked on a huge intelligence effort that included U-2 flights, satellite reconnaissance, and even talks with the Soviet Union on joint action. By the time of China's first nuclear test on October 16, 1964, however, Kennedy's successor, Lyndon Johnson, and his advisers had decided against direct confrontation with China, having concluded that not only was a nuclear China a threat the United States could live with, but that a confrontation with Beijing on the eve of a presidential election might prove politically unwise.
May 31, 2000
ABCs of ABM and Missile Defense
Op-Ed, Christian Science Monitor
By Graham Allison, Director, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs; Douglas Dillon Professor of Government; Faculty Chair, Dubai Initiative, Harvard Kennedy School
Re-ignition of heated debate about missile defense, the ABM Treaty, and another arms race befuddles many normal Americans. Can these cold-war relics really dominate President Clinton's agenda in his first meeting with Russia's new president next month in Moscow? One is reminded of Yogi Berra's observation that this is "deja vu all over again."
July 1998
"Content of U.S. Engagement with China"
Occasional Paper, volume 1
By Dr. Ashton B. Carter, Co-Director, Preventive Defense Project (on leave), Harvard & Stanford Universities and Dr. William J. Perry, Former Co-Director, Preventive Defense Project
This workshop report describes the policies and programs that will give content to the security dimension of engagement and increase the probability that China will emerge as a security partner, rather than an adversary, of the United States in the 21st century.
June 11, 1998
Move Closer to China, Not Far, for Security
Op-Ed, USA Today
By Dr. Ashton B. Carter, Co-Director, Preventive Defense Project (on leave), Harvard & Stanford Universities, John M. Deutch, International Council Member, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs and Dr. William J. Perry, Former Co-Director, Preventive Defense Project
Op-ed by Carter, Deutch, and Perry in USA Today
