CHINA AND SECURITY
July 18, 2008
"China's Cyber Warriors"
Op-Ed, Balitmore Sun
By Eric Rosenbach, Executive Director for Research, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs and Tamara Klajn
Could the United States be under attack from China without Americans even really knowing it?
Last week, Republican Reps. Frank R. Wolf of Virginia and Christopher H. Smith of New Jersey announced that Chinese hackers had attacked their office computers. Mr. Wolf and Mr. Smith, very public critics of China's human rights record, noted that it was likely that in 2006, the hackers sought to steal information about Chinese dissidents and refugees who had sought assistance from members of Congress.
Skeptics have suggested that the politicians' announcement was most likely intended as good old-fashioned China-bashing. After all, the details of the incident were "old news" to the U.S. national security community. And even the casual observer of American politics knows that China is often the target of unwarranted populist attacks on Capitol Hill.
July 14, 2008
"Beijing Says No to Terrorism at Olympics"
Op-Ed, The Korea Times
By Shacheng Wang, Research Fellow, International Security Program
"Terrorism is the biggest threat to the games and is not new to the Olympics. Eleven Israelis, five guerrillas, and one police officer were killed at the 1972 games in Munich. Two people were killed when a bomb exploded in Centennial Park during the 1996 games in Atlanta....China's generally secretive police agencies have sought advice on Olympic security from the U.S., Korea, Interpol, Germany, Israel, Australia, France, the U.K., Japan, Greece, Canada, Denmark, Switzerland, and others."
July 1, 2008
PDP Co-Directors Lead U.S. Delegation to Taiwan & PRC for Strategic Security Discussions
Press Release
In cooperation with the National Committee on U.S.-China Relations, PDP Co-Directors William Perry and Ashton Carter led a bipartisan civilian/military delegation to Taiwan and the People's Republic of China for the ninth Track II Strategic Security Issues Dialogue.
June 22 - July 1, 2008
Report of the Strategic Security Issues Delegation to Taiwan and the People's Republic of China (PRC)
Report
By Dr. William J. Perry, Co-Director, Preventive Defense Project, Admiral (ret.) Joseph W. Prueher, Senior Advisor, Preventive Defense Project, Ambassador Robert D. Blackwill, International Council Member, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Dr. Ashton B. Carter, Co-Director, Preventive Defense Project, Harvard & Stanford Universities, Stephen A. Orlins, President, National Committee on U.S.-China Relations, Dr. David M. Lampton, Director, China Studies, The Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University, Dr. Kurt Campbell, CEO and Founder, Center for a New American Security, Dr. Ashley Tellis, Dr. Evan Medeiros, Senior Political Scientist, RAND Corporation and Jan Berris, Vice-President, National Committee on U.S.-China Relations
Full text of the trip report from PDP's Track II meetings in Taiwan and the People's Republic of China (PRC).
June 11, 2008
"Balancing Asia's Rivals"
Op-Ed, The Korea Times
By Joseph S. Nye, Sultan of Oman Professor of International Relations
"...Bush leaves behind a better legacy in Asia. American relations with Japan and China remain strong, and he has greatly enhanced the United States' ties with India, the world's second most populous country....Improved relations between India and the U.S. can structure the international situation in a manner that encourages such an evolution in Chinese policy, whereas trying to isolate China would be a mistake.
Handled properly, the simultaneous rise of China and India could be good for all countries."
April 2008
"Information Galaxy: Intelligence Study on Security and Defense—Case on Potential Terrorism at the Beijing 2008 Olympic Games"
Conference Paper
By Shacheng Wang, Research Fellow, International Security Program and Feng Cao
The summer 2008 Olympic Games will take place in Beijing, China on August 8–24. In general, the security situation for the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games is quite stable, but still we need to face up to the threats from both traditional and non-traditional security areas such as terrorism, separatism and extremism. Terrorism is the biggest threat to the games. Effective security and defense strategies for the games require reliable intelligence. Reliable intelligence, however, is notoriously difficult to obtain even though we are immersed in vast quantities of information. How can we identify and obtain the useful intelligence from the vast sea of other less useful information? After analyzing the potential terrorism attacks and terrorists in the games, the paper analyzes the potential means for counterterrorism at the games, and tries to set up an intelligence study system based on the IG (Information Galaxy), which includes five parts: Sun (S), Earth (E), Moon (M), ISE (Information Sharing Environment) and IG (Information Galaxy).
March 2008
Russian and Chinese Responses to U.S. Military Plans in Space
Report
By Pavel Podvig and Hui Zhang, Research Associate, Project on Managing the Atom
The American Academy of Arts and Sciences called upon Pavel Podvig and Hui Zhang to consider what consequences would develop if the United States continues to pursue the weaponization of space and how China and Russia would respond, and what would be the broader implications for international security.
March-April 2008
"Toward a Liberal Realist Foreign Policy: A Memo for the Next President"
Magazine or Newspaper Article, Harvard Magazine, issue 4, volume 110
By Joseph S. Nye, Sultan of Oman Professor of International Relations
"On January 20, you will inherit a legacy of trouble: Iraq, Iran, Pakistan, Palestine, North Korea for starters. Failure to manage any one of them could mire your presidency and sap your political support—and threaten the country’s future. At the same time, you must not let these inherited problems define your foreign policy. You need to put them in a larger context and create your own vision of how Americans should deal with the world."
February 12, 2008
"Rethinking Beijing's Burma Policy"
Op-Ed, The Bangkok Post
By Jason Qian and Xiaohui (Anne) Wu, Associate, International Security Program/Project on Managing the Atom
"China would want to avoid choosing sides in Burma, so as not to compromise its holistic interests. A more effective route is to manage relations with all to maximise common interest. To achieve this, the motto of 'there are no permanent friends or enemies in international relations' is the key....As in the case of North Korea, China does not want the problems of a neighbour like Burma spilling over into its own territory. Burma is also part of China's strategic configuration with other regional and international players."
January 14, 2007
"Taiwan and Fear in US-China Ties"
Op-Ed, Taipei Times
By Joseph S. Nye, Sultan of Oman Professor of International Relations
"The US has a broad national interest in maintaining good relations with China, as well as a specific human rights interest in protecting Taiwan's democracy. But the US does not have a national interest in helping Taiwan become a sovereign country with a seat at the UN, and efforts by some Taiwanese to do so present the greatest danger of a miscalculation that could create enmity between the US and China."
