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NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION

H.E. Sheikh Abalkhail

March 31, 2003

A War Played to Many Audiences

Op-Ed, Boston Globe

By Graham Allison, Director, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs; Douglas Dillon Professor of Government; Faculty Chair, Dubai Initiative, Harvard Kennedy School and H.E. Sheikh Abalkhail, International Council Member, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

THE IRAQ SPECTACLE now running 24/7 is simultaneously war and theater. In both arenas, it is in General Tommy Franks's words 'a campaign unlike any other in history. For secondary audiences of this ultimate in reality TV, the swirl of images and finely spun words has been confusing, and sometimes misleading.

Hassan Abbas

Summer 2007

Pakistan: Instability Raises Nuclear Security Concerns

Summary Report, Oxford Analytica

By Hassan Abbas, Senior Advisor, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Managing the Atom Fellow Hassan Abbas provides analysis of Pakistan’s nuclear command and control systems and the security of its nuclear program in the aftermath of the recent test-firing of a nuclear-capable missile and terrorist attack.

July/August 2007

"The Khan Job"

Magazine or Newspaper Article, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, issue 4, volume 63

By Tom Bielefeld, Research Fellow, Project on Managing the Atom and Hassan Abbas, Senior Advisor, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Tom Bielefeld and Hassan Abbas review Der Physiker der Mullahs (The Mullah's Physicist), a film by Egmont R. Koch, broadcast on German Public Television (WDR) on February 22, 2007.

Karen Ruth Adams

Winter 2003/04

"Attack and Conquer? International Anarchy and the Offense-Defense-Deterrence Balance"

Journal Article, International Security, issue 3, volume 28

By Karen Ruth Adams

Karen Ruth Adams lays out the technological causes of offense, defense, and deterrence dominance and assesses the ability of these factors to explain attack and conquest among great powers and nuclear states from 1800 to 1997.

Kaveh L. Afrasiabi

August 23, 2006

"Iran's Diplomacy in Action"

Op-Ed, Agence Global

By Abbas Maleki, Former Senior Research Associate, International Security Program and Kaveh L. Afrasiabi

In this insider's assessment of Iran's long-awaited response to the incentive package offered by the United States and other world powers, Abbas Maleki and Kaveh Afrasiabi argue that this is an opportunity for diplomacy that could actually halt Iran's nuclear enrichment and address the concerns of the West.

Summer/Fall 2005

"Negotiating Iran's Nuclear Populism"

Journal Article, Brown Journal of World Affairs, issue I, volume XII

By Kaveh L. Afrasiabi and Mustafa Kibaroglu, Former Joint Research Fellow, Project on Managing the Atom/Science, Technology, and Public Policy Program and International Security Program, 2004–2005

The United States must take into account the mounting determination of almost the whole of Iranian society to exploit Iran’s rights stemming from the Non-Proliferation Treaty.

Samina Ahmed

Spring 1999

"Pakistan's Nuclear Weapons Program: Turning Points and Nuclear Choices"

Journal Article, International Security, issue 4, volume 23

By Samina Ahmed, Former Research Fellow, Project on Managing the Atom/Science, Technology, and Public Policy Program, 1998-2002

The author examines Pakistan's motivations for responding to the Indian nuclear weapons tests with its own series of tests on May 28 and 30.

David Aidekman

September 2000

Countering Asymmetric Threats

Book Chapter

By Dr. Ashton B. Carter, Co-Director, Preventive Defense Project (on leave), Harvard & Stanford Universities, Dr. William J. Perry, Former Co-Director, Preventive Defense Project and David Aidekman

Chapter in Keeping the Edge: Managing Defense for the Future

Secretary Madeleine K. Albright

July 20, 2005

Worst Weapons in Worst Hands: U.S. Inaction on the Nuclear Terror Threat Since 9/11, and a Path of Action

Report

By Dr. William J. Perry, Former Co-Director, Preventive Defense Project, Dr. Ashton B. Carter, Co-Director, Preventive Defense Project (on leave), Harvard & Stanford Universities, Secretary Madeleine K. Albright, Graham Allison, Director, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs; Douglas Dillon Professor of Government; Faculty Chair, Dubai Initiative, Harvard Kennedy School, Samuel R. Berger, General Wesley K. Clark, Former Senior Advisor, 2001-2009, Preventive Defense Project, Thomas E. Donilon, Michele A. Flournoy, Former Research Fellow, International Security Program, 1989-1993, John D. Podesta, Susan E. Rice, General (ret.) John M. Shalikashvili, Former Founding Senior Advisor, Preventive Defense Project, Amb. Wendy R. Sherman, Dr. Elizabeth D. Sherwood-Randall, Former Founding Senior Advisor, Preventive Defense Project and Dr. James B. Steinberg

The gravest threat facing Americans today is a terrorist detonating a nuclear bomb in one of our cities. The National Security Advisory Group (NSAG) judges that the Bush administration is taking insufficient actions to counter this threat.

July 2003

An American Security Policy: Challenge, Opportunity, Commitment

Paper

By Dr. Ashton B. Carter, Co-Director, Preventive Defense Project (on leave), Harvard & Stanford Universities, Dr. William J. Perry, Former Co-Director, Preventive Defense Project, Secretary Madeleine K. Albright, Samuel R. Berger, Louis Caldera, General Wesley K. Clark, Former Senior Advisor, 2001-2009, Preventive Defense Project, Michele A. Flournoy, Former Research Fellow, International Security Program, 1989-1993, General (ret.) John M. Shalikashvili, Former Founding Senior Advisor, Preventive Defense Project, Dr. Elizabeth D. Sherwood-Randall, Former Founding Senior Advisor, Preventive Defense Project, Alfonso E. Lenhardt and John D. Podesta

A paper by the National Security Advisory Group

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Securing the Bomb 2008

Securing the Bomb 2008

Associate Professor of Public Policy and Project on Managing the Atom Co-Principal Investigator Matthew Bunn provides a comprehensive assessment of efforts to secure and remove vulnerable nuclear stockpiles around the world, and a detailed action plan for reducing the risk of nuclear terrorism. Securing the Bomb 2008 was commissioned by the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI). The full report, with additional information on the threat of nuclear terrorism, is available on the NTI website.

International Security

The Summer 2009 issue of the quarterly journal International Security is now available. It includes articles by Matthew Fuhrmann, Elizabeth Stanley, Daniel Lake, Christopher Layne, and more.

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Nuclear Terrorism

Nuclear Terrorism: The Ultimate Preventable Catastrophe

Graham Allison, founding dean of Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, a former top official at the Pentagon, and one of America’s leading scholars of nuclear strategy and national security, presents the evidence and argument that led him to two provocative conclusions: a nuclear terrorist attack on an American city is inevitable on our current course and speed, but preventable if we act now.

Managing the Atom

The Project on Managing the Atom (MTA) conducts and disseminates policy-relevant research on nuclear weapons, nuclear energy, and nuclear non-proliferation and disarmament.

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Policy Brief

Speaking about the Unspeakable: U.S.-Israeli Dialogue on Iran's Nuclear Program

Despite the longstanding and ever-evolving "special relationship" between the United States and Israel, the two allies do not appear to have engaged in substantive discussions on key facets of their most pressing mutual concern, the Iranian nuclear threat. Specifically, there has been little if any dialogue on the possibility of military action if the diplomatic route comes to a dead end, nor on the possible means of living with a nuclear Iran should both countries decide to refrain from military action.